How do we sort out fact from fancy?… distinguish fads from long lasting developments?

I am an early adopter of most high tech developments. Why haven’t I adopted Twitter?

I have no personal need for it. I am not voyeuristic enough to want to ‘follow’ people. I am not egotistical enough to think anyone would want to follow me. I simply don’t have time in the day for it. The exponential or exploding growth of Twitter is going to flatten out. Mathematically it has to. Then there will be period of decline. How far will it fall?

Will it be quickly usurped by another technology darling like Facebook over MySpace or Google over Yahoo?

Or will it eventually disappear? My vote is for it to disappear, but realistically it will probably fade into a corner of the Internet a certain subset will be eager to maintain.

140 characters is a simple limit, but how much can it convey? A serious dialogue or debate on any issue cannot be conducted within a 140 character limit. Twitter will become defined as the medium of the superficial or the medium of NOW. It will not become a place for serious debate or move our society forward. It will become a place for those who wish to wallow in the banal can wallow to their heart’s delight. Let them.